Early thoughts on Osun elections and Nigerian political parties

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A picture taken on September 22, 2018 shows people watching as an electoral officer raises a ballot to count results in a ward after the Osun State gubernatorial election in Ede, near Osogbo, Osun State in southwest Nigeria. The Osun election is seen as a litmus test for the president's popularity as he seeks a second term in February. / AFP PHOTO / PIUS UTOMI EKPEI

Osun elections gives a lot to think about. A big chunk of the vote was indeed split between APC and PDP as expected, but more interesting was the influence of other parties. Having captured key influential politicians, ADP and SDP were both able to capture 24% of votes cast. While they did not win, it was a key factor in us now having one of the closest state governor elections we have had, making it a game of margins.

As…



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